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Friday, October 01, 2004

Sports: NFL Week Four Predictions 

Last week's picks brought me back into the realm of respectability. I'll try to keep up the momentum on Sunday.

Season thus far:
15-15 ATS
17-13 SU

(2-1) NY Giants at (1-2) Green Bay [-7]: Brett Favre is banged up. Am I the only one that feels more confident in him when that's the case? The Giants are looking better, but there's no way that the Packers open 0-2 at home. Packers 28, Giants 20
ATS- Green Bay

(3-0) Philadelphia [-4] at (1-2) Chicago: Hats off to Lovie Smith. Philly has looked sensational, yet they're favored by a mere four points in Chicago. The Bears defense might slow the Eagles down, but Philly's D will give rookie QB Jonathan Quinn a rude introduction to the starting lineup. Eagles 27, Bears 10
ATS- Philadelphia

(1-2) Washington [-3] at (1-2) Cleveland: Cleveland is just a bad football team. Washington is a pissed-off football team. Clinton Portis runs for a buck-plus and the Redskins pick off Jeff Garcia at least twice. Redskins 23 Browns 14
ATS- Washington

(2-0) New England [-5.5] at (0-2) Buffalo: The Bills might be the best winless team in the league. But the Pats might the best team period. I expect a defensive game here, decided by a late score. Thought I want to take Buffalo in the upset special, I'll be a wuss and go with the champs. Patriots 13, Bills 10
ATS- Buffalo

(2-1) Oakland [-2] at (1-2) Houston: The Texans kill me every week. Oakland is almost as enigmatic. Domanick Davis is banged up, but his lack of production didn't matter last week. Give me the Texans at home, but only because I want to see David Carr cut that mop (which he'll do as soon as Houston wins consecutive games). Texans 20, Raiders 17
ATS- Houston

(2-1) Indianapolis [-4] at (3-0) Jacksonville: The Jags haven't played any offensive juggernauts in their 3-0 start, and the Colts piled up as many points during the first half of last week's game (35) as Jacksonville has all season (stat via Gil Brandt). If Peyton's sober, Indy wins. Colts 27, Jaguars 17
ATS- Indianapolis

(2-0) NY Jets [-6] at (0-3) Miami: I hate to pile on the hapless Dolphins, but they are just awful. The Jets are coming off of a bye-week, so Curtis Martin's rejuvenated old legs should be fresh enough to find running room, even though Miami's run defense is its strength. Jets 20, Dolphins 13
ATS- NY Jets

(2-1) Denver [-3] at (0-3) Tampa Bay: Some underdog is going to win this weekend, but it won't be the Bucs. They have no punch on offense, and their defense just isn't what it used to be. Broncos 23, Buccaneers 16
ATS- Denver

(1-2) Tennessee [-3] at (0-3) San Diego: The Titans pinned down Peyton and the Colts for three quarters, and Drew Brees is no Peyton Manning. But Steve McNair might not play, and the Chargers' run defense should keep Chris Brown from exploding the way he has in the past few weeks. I hate to pick against Tennessee, but... Chargers 14, Titans 13
ATS- San Diego

(1-2) St. Louis [-3.5] at (0-3) San Francisco: The Rams kill me every week. San Fran, however, could be the worst team in the league. Marc Bulger goes for 300 in an easy win. Rams 26, 49ers 16
ATS- St. Louis

past predictions:
Week Three
Week Two
Week One
NFL Predictions

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