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Wednesday, July 28, 2004

Astros: Handicapping the Wild Card (short term) 

After last night's 10-3 win against Arizona, Houston moved back to .500, five games behind San Fran and San Diego in the Wild Card race. The Astros sit in a tie with Florida for 5th place in those standings.

With two more games against the D'Backs, and a weekend series with fading Cincinnatti, Houston has an opportunity to gain ground, because the teams in front of them continue to beat up on each other. The Phillies and Cubs battle this weekend, while SF and SD, who finish their series today and tomorrow, travel to division-leading St. Louis and LA, respectively.

I think there are two options here: 4-1 or 5-0. Keep in mind that Atlanta comes to town on Monday. It would be nice to have a little leeway against them. After that comes a nine-game stretch with Montreal and New York, but if the Stros are still five back at that point, at-or-below .500, then it's all but over.


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